In Depth: Titans Playoff Chances

I really want to see the Titans go to the playoffs. With only one game left, there is a very well defined scenario of what needs to happen for the Titans sneak into the playoffs. Granted, I am pretty happy that there is a scenario left after the 0-5 start of the 2006 season.

So here is what needs to happen [via Sharon Cobb]:

  1. Our Tennessee Titans beat the New England Patriots
  2. The Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Cincinnati Bengals
  3. The San Fancisco 49ers beat the Denver Broncos
  4. The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Jacksonville Jaguars

Simple enough. We can all go to a big sports bar and watch all four games while knowing who to root for. I just wanted to take a minute and look at the changes of each one of these pieces falling into place.

Tennessee Titans vs. New England Patriots
I don’t need to look at any statistics or projections to know this one. The way the Titans have been playing anything is possible. Besides, New England already has their playoff berth; they don’t need this win. They were in the same situation last year and they rested many of their key players. Tennessee will fight for this win.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The Steelers are a 6 point underdog. Cincinnati is fighting for a playoff spot while Pittsburgh is out of the running. The good news is that the Steelers are 7-3 against the Bengals; even better they are 5-0 when playing AT the Bengals. I tend to think that trend will continue and we will see a Pittsburgh win on Sunday.

San Fancisco 49ers vs. Denver Broncos
Now for the bad news. The 49ers are an 10 point underdog. This is the long shot. This is why people are describing the Titans playoff hopes as a ‘mathematical possibility’. The 49ers are 6-9 and I think they are no longer in playoff contention (but it is so hard to tell). I don’t know how hard they are going to play, especially since Denver is fighting for a playoff spot. I think we might want to consider loaning San Francisco the ‘Music City Miracle’ this week; we need them to win.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Chiefs have lost 7 of the last 9 games against the Jaguars. However, Kansas City has won 5 of the 7 home games so far this season (and all but 1 since they switched quarterbacks). Jacksonville has only won 2 of their 7 away games (and only 1 since Byron Leftwitch got injured). Currently Kansas City is a 1 point favorite. They have the same playoff hopes that we do, and they will be fighting for their post-season dreams. I think Kansas City will win this one.

So it is possible. Knowing the importance of each of these games should make Sunday more interesting for Titans fans. It will be fun to watch all four games, rooting for a Titans playoff spot. Of course, the Titans can only go to the playoffs this week if they beat the New England Patriots on Sunday.

Go Titans!

3 Comments so far

  1. Nathan (unregistered) on December 28th, 2006 @ 10:03 am

    I appreciate your defined Titans playoff scenario, but I’ve been doing some research lately on the tiebreaker situations and it appears that if we beat the Patriots then it really doesn’t matter who wins between the Jags and the Chiefs because we have a better division record than the Jags and a better AFC record than the Chiefs which means we’ll be ahead of both teams. So according to my thinking, only 3 things have to happen for the Titans to reach the playoffs: Steelers over Bengals, 49ers over Broncos, and of course Titans over Pats. Please correct me if I’m wrong. Go Titans!


  2. Nathan (unregistered) on December 28th, 2006 @ 10:04 am

    I appreciate your defined Titans playoff scenario, but I’ve been doing some research lately on the tiebreaker situations and it appears that if we beat the Patriots then it really doesn’t matter who wins between the Jags and the Chiefs because we have a better division record than the Jags and a better AFC record than the Chiefs which means we’ll be ahead of both teams. So according to my thinking, only 3 things have to happen for the Titans to reach the playoffs: Steelers over Bengals, 49ers over Broncos, and of course Titans over Pats. Please correct me if I’m wrong. Go Titans!


  3. Sunny (unregistered) on December 28th, 2006 @ 6:23 pm

    Sorry Nathan, but you are wrong, because the Broncos have a 7-5 conference record, and the best the Titans can go is 6-6, the Kansas City Chiefs would own a tiebreaker over the Denver Broncos with a win and a Denver loss because the Chiefs have a better divisional record (both teams are in the same division)than the Broncos.



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